Wednesday, 7 January 2009

Economic Releases

One should probably not use technical strategies to enter trades right around important economic releases such as the employment report.
Key levels of support and resistance will still come into play, after the fundamental data has played itself out in the market - but the short term technicals will hold little relevance.

Among the advantages to the retail fx trader in trading off fundamental data is that the information is readily accessible through sources such as Bloomberg and Reuters, and that the retail trader can actually act faster than the banks and hedge funds.

The impact of major economic news can take some time before it has finished impacting the market, and the day trader can use this to their advantage - benefiting from the momentum generated by the order flow of the bigger players.

The best opportunities are created when the news comes out way off expectation and the market scrambles to correct itself. This can happen quite frequently with releases such as the nonfarm payrolls part of the employment report.
For a good exit to a trade entered based on fundamentals, the trader should look to a significant technical level.

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Inside Day Breakouts

An inside day is one where trading is contained within the trading range of the previous day.
The volatility breakout strategy entails entering a trade on a stop order above or below the range that has been previously trading - with the expectation that since a breakout has occured price will continue to move in that direction.

Volatility breakout systems are based on idea that if the market moves a certain percentage from a previous price level, the market is likely to see follow through in that direction. In this scenario you are looking for a continuation of the move based on momentum.
One should look for a series of inside days to implement this strategy, and the greater the number of inside days that transpire, the higher the probability of a breakout.
Also, the longer the timeframe used, the stronger the breakout opportunity - hourly and daily timeframes are the best to use.

This strategy is also best used with pairs that see tighter ranges - these are typically the crosses - currency pairs that do not have the USD as part of the pairing such as the EUR/GBP and the EUR/CHF.

Inevitably there will be false breakouts, as the interbank dealers try to trigger the stop orders just outside the breakout levels.
In order to avoid being caught in a false breakout situation, enter your trade with a stop order at least 10-15 pips above the breakout level - meaning the levels above or below the trading range depending on whether the market is breaking out to the upside or downside.
(In case you are not clear on this - a stop order is one that is placed above or below where the market is currently trading and becomes a market order when the market touches the price where the stop was entered. A buy stop is placed above the market and a sell stop is placed below.)

Again one can look to the ADX as an indicator to whether the market is still range bound or beginning to trend one way or another.
Stay away from inside day breakout trade if the ADX is below 20 and trending downward.
The breakout strategy is valuable in that it teaches the trader to do something that is normally counter intuitive - that is to buy the high or sell the low. Novice traders are more likely to try to pick tops and bottoms.
Often the breakout will occur in a fast moving market, making decisiveness even harder. However, if your strategy is in place and you have identified the opportunity, you will be ahead of the game.

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Important Psychological Levels

FX day traders should be able to identify price areas where large order flows will be triggered through the interbank market, and take advantage of the moves that are created by them.
Such levels include major areas of support and resistance on the daily chart and also round numbers such as double zeros - for example EUR/USD 1.2700.
Careful placement of stop loss and profit target orders enables the trader to execute trades with a strongly positive risk/reward factor.

For example, one might place a stop loss of 15 pips from the level and a profit target of 50 pips on the other side if you are attempting to profit from a bounce at such a level.
One should note that stop loss orders are normally placed somewhat beyond the key round figure numbers and profit taking orders are normally right at the key levels.
Attempting to catch a rebound off a major level is best executed when there are other technical factors supporting the rebound. For example if the market had been trading below its 20 period Simple Moving Average (SMA) prior to reaching the key level, this would support the decision to attempt to catch a rebound at that level.

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3. ForexGen offers Forex trading in the major currency pairs and crosses.
4. Low capital start, with $250 as a minimum account size.
5. Liquidity and 24/5 availability are the characteristic factors of the Forex market compared with other financial markets.
6. [ForexGen] offers a free trial Forex [demo account] that allows you to test your skills and practice without risking real money.

US Dollar Index

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is a futures contract offered by the New York Board of Trade. It is a trade-weighted average of six foreign currencies against the dollar. Currently, the index includes euros (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pounds (GBP), Canadian dollars (CAD), Swedish kronas (SEK) and Swiss francs (CHF).

USDX broadly reflects the dollar's standing compared to the other major currencies of the world. It is widely used to hedge risk in the currency markets or to take a position in the US Dollar without having the risk exposure of a single currency pair.

The US Dollar Index allows the fx trader a feel for what is going on in the FX market globally at a glance. If the Dollar Index is trending lower, then it is likely that a major currency that is a component of it is trading higher.


ForexGen offers three types of business partnerships:

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*White label
*Money Manager

ForexGen Introducing Brokers, White Label and Money Manager holders are recognized as a strategic business partners. The main focus of our service is to satisfy our partner's needs in order to deal with a qualified service and gain a huge income sharing plan.

[ForexGen] provide appropriate services satisfying the needs of all business partner's specified situation and requirements.

Forex Trading Strategies

Successfully trading the forex market on an intraday basis requires precision and a very careful selection of trades.
The enormous scope of the trillion dollar, 24 hour, globe spanning fx market presents a myriad of opportunities for the short term trader - however a day trader in this market must be aware of certain inherent factors to overcome.

Firstly, the bid ask spread in the fx market, normally at least 3 pips, makes trading on the shortest timeframe - in and out within seconds - very difficult.

The daily ranges can be very wide among certain currency pairs, presenting many opportunities for the day trader - however I feel that the intraday forex trader should look for specific technical and fundamental conditions before entering trades.
Secondly, due to the fact that there is currently no centralized exchange in the forex market, traders lack data on volume and open interest (the number of active contracts for a given security over a given time period)- important sources for traders in other markets - which causes a necessary shift in focus to other technical and fundamental factors.

While interbank dealers are able to see the order book and use this to their advantage, the retail fx trader can exploit their ability to react faster, and also with the knowledge that their trades will not move the market, as the trades of the larger institutions will.

The CME and Reuters are planning to launch a trading platform for fx in Q1 2007 - using CME trade matching and clearing technology - this will address the issues mentioned above (ie the spread will be tighter, you will be able to see volume etc.) and it will be interesting to see whether they can attract the liquidity and create a successful marketplace.
While both technical and fundamental analysis are important to the forex trader, we will begin with a focus on technicals.

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In case the IB does not increase the spread or charge their clients a commission, ForexGen rebate the IB a minor predefined amount for every client's executed lot.
Commission is paid out every month.

Individualized Service

[ForexGen] offers our IB's individualized service created according to the individual needs and specified business situation for each IB.
Our Introducing Broker program provides a highly organized program for individualized services and organizations in order to introduce their clients to the online foreign currency exchange market, moreover they will enjoy the benefits of being a part of the ForexGen family.

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Tuesday, 6 January 2009

Interest Rate Risk Exposure

Interest rate exposure refers to the interest rate differential between the two countries' currencies in a foreign exchange contract. The interest rate differential is also roughly equal to the "carry" cost paid to hedge a forward or futures contract. As a side note, arbitragers are investors that take advantage when interest rate differentials between the foreign exchange spot rate and either the forward or futures contract are either to high or too low.

In simplest terms, an arbitrager may sell when the carry cost he or she can collect is at a premium to the actual carry cost of the contract sold. Conversely, an arbitrager may buy when the carry cost he or she may pay is less than the actual carry cost of the contract bought. Either way, the arbitrager is looking to profit from a small price discrepancy due to interest rate differentials.

[ForexGen Money Manager]

An individual who is responsible for the entire financial portfolio of another individual or another entity. A money manager receives payment in exchange for choosing and monitoring appropriate investments for the client.

Benefits of being a Money Manager with [ForexGen]:

* Providing three different commission sources.
* Weekly commission plan.
* Easy & fast commission withdrawals.
* Fixed percentage of the profits.
* P = k * D “P=Profit, k=Variable Parameter, D=Deposits”

The money manager gets a fixed percentage of the profit previously agreed upon with the client for managing the client funds as a bonus feature.

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* 2 pips spread on six currency pairs.
* Providing online trading services without maintenance margin, margin call and no automatic closing of positions below the initial margin on weekdays for accounts with initial equity of up to $1 million US. The margin level have to be recognized Fridays at 23:00 CET and before public holidays.
* Leverages up to 1:200 for accounts up to $1 million US.
* Liquidity and 24/5 availability are the characteristic factors of the Forex market compared with other financial markets.

Foreign Exchange Rate Risk Exposure

Foreign exchange rate risk exposure is common to virtually all who conduct international business and/or trading. Buying and/or selling of goods or services denominated in foreign currencies can immediately expose you to foreign exchange rate risk.

If a firm price is quoted ahead of time for a contract using a foreign exchange rate that is deemed appropriate at the time the quote is given, the foreign exchange rate quote may not necessarily be appropriate at the time of the actual agreement or performance of the contract. Placing a foreign exchange hedge can help to manage this foreign exchange rate risk.

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