Thursday, 28 August 2008

ForexGen | Currency Trading



The Euro Dollar was adopted as a unit of exchange in January 1999. Those who advocated the currency believed it would make stronger Europe as an economic power, boost international trade, make simpler monetary dealings, and lead to pricing equal opportunity throughout Europe. They probably did not anticipate that the Euro would become as early as 2008 a preferred keep currency by many investors and central banks around the world.The Euro zone does not run a huge trade deficit nor is it a lot indebted to the rest of the world like the US and interest rates in the Euro zone are also significantly higher. The Euro-zone has a larger share of world trade than the US and is the Middle East’s main trading partner. The Euro is divided into 100 cents, sometimes referred to as Euro cents, especially when distinguishing them from other currencies or the former currency in a particular country.All circulating Euro coins including the remembrance coins have a common side showing the denomination, value, with the old 15 EU-countries in the background. The Euro positively simplifies the existing situation in Europe before the Euro of having to exchange currencies as you traveled about Europe.The Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council provides the overarching framework for consultations among its members on a broad range of political and security-related issues. The Euro has become a credible challenger to the US Dollar’s position as the world’s premier reserve currency. Euro land is roughly as big as the United States, and the Euro has shown itself to be a much better store of value than the dollar. The Euro was first adopted on 1 January 1999. Euro notes and coins came into circulation on 1 January 2002.The Europeans have decided to control price rises, which is a bigger evil than a short term recession. Anyone who has lived through double, triple digit inflation, like I would much prefer a strong online currency trading than a complete chaos and society destruction that inflation brings. The Euro zone is huge in population and huge in investment opportunities. Why should Euro companies hold USA dollars investments as USA investments decline in USA dollar value due to lower USA price to earnings ratio values.

Wednesday, 20 August 2008

ForexGen | What Does It Cost to Trade Currencies?


An online currency trading account (a “micro-account”) may be opened for as little as $100. Mini-accounts start at $300. Do not laugh—micro- and mini-accounts are a good way to get your feet wet without taking a bath. Unlike futures, where the size of a contract is set by the exchanges, in FOREX you select how much of any particular currency you wish to buy or sell. Thus, a $3,000,000 grubstake is not unreasonable as long as the trader engages in appropriately sized trades. FOREX mini-accounts also do not suffer the illiquidity of many futures mini-contracts, as everyone feeds from the same currency “pool.”

Market Commentary With ForexGen


Nothing too exciting with mostly month, quarter, fiscal year end activity dominating market movement. Euro-zone inflation jumped to record highs, IP in Japan continued to fall taking the Nikkei with it down 2.3% on close of Japanese fiscal year.


JPY - It was all about the fixing. Closed soft in New York on Friday, continuing into the Sydney open, dipping below 98.85 before Japanese fixing demand drove it 140 points to print 100.16. Exporters were at the ready once again above 100 and things are now just a tiny bit higher than where we left them on Friday. Topside offers are expected to remain in place although on this rally a few specs took advantage and light stops have gathered 100.30-50; downside, little to support until low 97s. Eurjpy continues to hover around the 55d, with offers above 158 still capping.


EUR - Record highs in inflation data will add weight to the ECBs concern and gave them more to worry about with Euro. EURUSD has set higher lows over the last week and a short term pivot on the hourlies would be 1.5760. Below there we would expect a look back to 1.56 but still maintain a dip buying mentality while the ECB remains in this dilemma. 1.60 is just a matter of time and with good stops gathering above the old highs it could be sooner rather than later.

ForexGen | Hedging Technique




A hedge is a position or combination of positions in one security that reduces the risk of your primary position in the same security.



An example of hedging in commodity futures is the Midwest farmer who grows #1 Soft Red Wheat and intends to take his harvest physically to market for September delivery. After rilling the soil and planting the seeds in late spring, die farmer initiates a short (sell) commodity futures contract for September Wheat at the Chicago Board of Trade at what he feels is a fair price. If the price of wheat declines dramatically in September, the farmer will suffer losses on his physical delivery but will make profits on his futures contract. If the price of wheat rises substantially in the fall, the farmer will make profits on his physical delivery but will suffer losses on his futures contract. Thus, hedging not only reduces risk but can also be used to lock in predetermined profits in some situations.



Normally when you have an open position to buy or sell at your FOREX dealer, and you open a new position in the opposite direction, the two positions will close each other out. If you had a position for USD/CHF to buy and you opened a new position USD/CHF to sell, both positions would close, since you cannot be buying and selling currencies at the same time. The feature of hedging however, allows you to do exactly that if your FOREX dealer offers this trading feature.

ForexGen Trading Strategy


The idea behind this simple Forex trading system is to capture an early move of the price when it starts to establish its new direction/trend for the day.
As we know the Frankfurt market opens at 2:00 am EST (which is 7:00 am GMT), then an hour later the other giant - London market opens at 3:00 am EST (which is 8:00 am GMT). The European session is the first major session for each coming day.


So, what do we do?We start with 1 hour time frame, preferred pair - GBP/USD and no indicators.The price range we are going to focus on is from 1:00 am EST to 2:00 am EST.We look for the highest high and the lowest low of the price in that range and simply draw parallel horizontal lines through those extremes that will create a tunnel.
Now we are ready to move to a smaller time frame - 5 minute chart - and watch for the whole 5 min candle to close outside the tunnel which will provide a signal for us to enter with the open of the next candle.
We use a 20 pip stop OR the other side of the tunnel - whichever is less.