Wednesday, 26 November 2008

ForexGen | Euro, British Pound Retrace as Risk Trends Look Uncertain

The Euro and the British Pound pulled back from US session highs in overnight trading as mixed results on Asian stock exchange painted an increasingly uncertain picture of risk sentiment. UK Gross Domestic Product and German CPI are set to offer predictably dour results, with forex traders likely looking past the European calendar to US releases for direction cues.

Key Overnight Developments

• Euro, Pound Pull Back From NY Session Highs

• Risk Trends Murky as Stocks Send Mixed Signals Overnight

Critical Levels




The Euro pulled back below the 1.30 level in overnight trading having reached as high as 1.3080 in during the US session. The British Pound followed suit, edging towards 1.53 having fallen over 200 pips from the high at 1.5534.

Asia Session Highlights




With no market-moving data on the economic calendar, trading in the forex markets took on a corrective tone overnight with the US Dollar recapturing a bit of lost ground after the sharp selloff in the US session. The greenback tumbled as risk appetite rebounded just before the opening bell on Wall St when the Federal Reserve announced it would commit up to $800 billion to boost credit access for consumers, homebuyers, and small businesses. The central bank said it would offer $200 billion in a program to extend lending directly to credit-seekers as well as spend $600 billion on buy up debt issued or backed by government-chartered companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said the direct $200-billion facility was just a “starting point”, stressing that “It’s very important that lending continue to be available” in the absence of private firms’ willingness to dole out loans.

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Monday, 24 November 2008

Forex scalping


Forex scalping and day trading are more popular than ever but it's simply the best way to wipe out your equity quickly. Here we will give you the facts about forex scalping and why it is based on unsound logic which will see you lose.

First let me ask you a question:
There are millions of traders all around the world from banks to private traders, trading trillions of dollars all with different methods, motivations and diverse opinions.
How is it possible to tell what this huge diverse mass will do in a few hours?
Know the answer?
Well if you do you can make money at forex scalping - but it's obvious that you can't predict what this vast mass will do in a few hours but forex scalpers try. Here are some of the answers you get form vendors selling systems .
1. Support & Resistance is Valid In a Day and can be Traded
Fact: Its not - volatility is totally random, prices can and do go anywhere and support and resistance levels in daily time frames are not tradable.
2. Markets Move Scientifically
Fact: This is absolute rubbish! If there were a scientific theory that worked, everyone would know the market price in advance and their would be no market! Markets move because they are not certain and while human nature is constant it certainly is not logical and predictable with scientific accuracy.
Anyway, if anyone had found a theory that worked all the time they would be to busy making money to bother anyone else.
You will see lots of forex scalping courses on the net, all promising 50 ticks a day, regular incomes and the ability to predict prices in advance - It's a wonder anyone has to go to work! Buy one of these for $100 odd bucks, sit back and earn money for doing nothing - if only it were that easy.

If ever you see a day trading or forex scalping track record it's a simulation - simply look for this disclaimer or a similar one:
"CFTC RULE 4.41 - Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown".
So there you have it - a vendor can make up any track record he likes in hindsight and of course they do (they have the sense not to trade it themselves) and simply put the above disclaimer on it.
Naïve and greedy traders can't resist it like bees at a honey pot, later they get a sharp lesson in trading reality - a wipeout.
The way To Make Money in FOREX
Is to forget day trading and forex scalping and trade time frames where you can get the odds in your favor and that means forex swing trading or forex trend following. The former looks for trends of a few days to about a week and the latter for weeks or months. Which you choose is up to you but with both methods ,the data is long enough for you to calculate the odds and enjoy currency trading success which is more than can be said for forex scalping.
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